• ajikeshi@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    1 day ago

    i agree on your point affecting trade.

    but since the current american regime and israel ar clashing and flip flopping around regime change no prediction in that regard can be made imo

    and it will probably become a forever war in my opinion, if the us flees from the war, the strait still wont be open due to iran demanding reparations.

    so the options are, reparations for iran, or invasion and regime change

    and ground war is something that majorly changed in the last 5 years, so one could expect high casualties for the invader

    • TotallynotJessica@lemmy.blahaj.zone
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      1 day ago

      if the us flees from the war, the strait still wont be open due to iran demanding reparations.

      lol, no. Keeping the strait closed without the US still attacking makes no sense. They’d just receive even more hostility from the gulf states while wasting money and resources. If the US withdraws, they’ll open the strait so they can focus on preparing for the next war. They’ll demand reparations, but they know full well that they will never get them. Reparations aren’t a serious part of the conversation, only security guarantees that the US won’t immediately attack again.