

This doesn’t make any sense. NATO is much stronger than it was before the war. Russia is much weaker.
The Baltic States started the war isolated, partially surrounded by Russia. Today they sit in a NATO lake that can not only support the Baltics, but threaten St Petersburg.
Russia would have to defend a front stretching from the Black sea to the Arctic sea.
Even if the US declined to help, Russia starts in a position of great weakness. And worse still, everyone knows it.






It should be stressed that Ukraine isn’t attacking WB instead of attacking refineries, logistics, and shipping. They’re doing it in addition.
Warehouses are a soft, easy target. And, like oil facilities, you’re counting on the goods themselves to do most of the destruction with a little incendiary help. Ukraine has a large supply of slow, cheap suicide drones and this is a good use for them. You force Russia to move air defenses away from the front, absorb economic and financial losses, and remind regular “non-political” Russians that they’re at war. Also, you minimize collateral damage because unless workers are killed in the initial attack, they’re likely to escape the conflagration that accounts for most of the damage.